Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000099 0.000104 0.000110 0.000117 0.000124 0.000131 0.000140
2025-01-19 0.000088 0.000095 0.000104 0.000113 0.000125 0.000138 0.000154
2025-01-26 0.000079 0.000088 0.000097 0.000108 0.000122 0.000138 0.000159
2025-02-02 0.000076 0.000085 0.000096 0.000109 0.000126 0.000146 0.000174
2025-02-09 0.000074 0.000084 0.000096 0.000111 0.000131 0.000156 0.000192
2025-02-16 0.000072 0.000083 0.000096 0.000113 0.000136 0.000166 0.000211
2025-02-23 0.000072 0.000084 0.000099 0.000118 0.000146 0.000183 0.000243
2025-03-02 0.000069 0.000080 0.000095 0.000115 0.000143 0.000183 0.000249
2025-03-09 0.000065 0.000077 0.000091 0.000111 0.000140 0.000181 0.000250
2025-03-16 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000111 0.000141 0.000186 0.000264
2025-03-23 0.000063 0.000075 0.000090 0.000113 0.000146 0.000197 0.000290
2025-03-30 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000112 0.000146 0.000200 0.000302
2025-04-06 0.000058 0.000070 0.000085 0.000108 0.000143 0.000199 0.000306
2025-04-13 0.000055 0.000067 0.000082 0.000105 0.000141 0.000198 0.000313
2025-04-20 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101 0.000135 0.000192 0.000309
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000101 0.000138 0.000201 0.000336
2025-05-04 0.000051 0.000063 0.000079 0.000103 0.000143 0.000214 0.000375
2025-05-11 0.000051 0.000062 0.000079 0.000105 0.000148 0.000227 0.000419
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000064 0.000081 0.000110 0.000159 0.000253 0.000509
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000062 0.000079 0.000107 0.000156 0.000251 0.000515
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000103 0.000151 0.000245 0.000509
2025-06-08 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000103 0.000152 0.000252 0.000547
2025-06-15 0.000046 0.000058 0.000076 0.000105 0.000158 0.000268 0.000625